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YANGZL金蟲 (小有名氣)
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[求助]
請(qǐng)教“第一篇關(guān)于時(shí)間序列預(yù)測(cè)”的文獻(xiàn) 已有1人參與
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請(qǐng)教“第一篇關(guān)于時(shí)間序列預(yù)測(cè)”的文獻(xiàn)![]() 在論文 Tsay RS. 2000. Time series and forecasting: Brief history and future research. Journal of the American Statistical Association 95(450): 638-643. 中提到 “Statistical analysis of time series data started a longu time ago (Yule 1927), and forecasting has an even longer history.” 請(qǐng)教下述文獻(xiàn)是否是第一篇時(shí)間序列預(yù)測(cè)的文獻(xiàn)? G. Udny Yule. On a Method of Investigating Periodicities in Disturbed Series, with Special Reference toWolfer's Sunspot Numbers[J]. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical or Physical Character, 1927, Vol. 226 pp. 267-298. |

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肯定不是。至少在1904年前后。 http://scholar.glgoo.com/scholar ... mp;amp;as_sdt=0%2C5 |
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