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[求助]
最近在忙著翻譯,在這里有點不懂想請教蟲友們
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However, it can be shown that this model is not consistent with actual oil production records in many different regions, particularly that of the US, from which it was derived. A more careful application of the EIA model, using the same resource estimates, indicates that at best non-OPEC oil production can increase for less than two decades, and should begin to decline at the latest sometime between 2015 and 2020. OPEC at this point will completely control the world oil market and will need to meet increased demand as well as compensate for declining production of non-OPEC producers. OPEC could control the market even sooner than this, given its larger share of proven oil reserves, probable difficulties in transforming non-OPEC undiscovered reserves into proven reserves, and the converging interests of all oil producers as reserves are depleted. This has significant implications for the world economy and for US national security. 這段怎么翻都覺得不怎么好,請大家?guī)蛶兔!謝謝咯! |


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然而,在許多不同的區(qū)域這個模型明顯不符合實際的石油生產(chǎn)的記錄,特別是在美國,通過這個模型可以衍生得到。在使用相同的資源估計的情況下,一項更仔細的EIA模型的應用,最好的非歐佩克石油會增加,但不超過20年的時間,在2015年和2020年之間的某個時候開始下降。在那時歐佩克將完全控制世界石油的市場需求,同時為了滿足社會日益增長的需求作為補償非歐佩克產(chǎn)油國的產(chǎn)量卻將下降。歐佩克控制市場甚至可能比這更早,對于已探明的石油儲量擁有更大的份額,而這期間可能的困難在于將非歐佩克的未被發(fā)現(xiàn)的儲量改造為探明儲量,以及融合所有石油生產(chǎn)國作為儲備被耗盡的利益。這對于世界經(jīng)濟和美國的國家安全有著顯著的牽連和影響。 這是我自己翻譯的,請大家?guī)臀姨崽嵋庖姡? |

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